April 26 Red Sox 7 Blue Jays 6

I have now discovered the difficulty that there is going to be in doing a Friday night game.  Go figure a night game to day game gives limited time.  I still want to try to cover every game, but that Friday night game was depressing enough to sit through once let alone break down.  Quick summary, Buehrle sucked for the first time in his pursuit to be the first Blue Jays pitcher ever to win in each of his first 5 starts.  As far as LI and WPA, because of the early damage, no Jays AB had any real impact (Highest LI was 1.54 and highest PA was 11.3).  Having said that, despite an ugly game yesterday (WHO WALKS 8!!!!) there are at least some interesting points, and the Jays made it exciting.  So here folks, is yesterdays breakdown:


Blue Jays 6  Red Sox 7

Raise of my Jack filled boot: Dioner (Dinner) Navarro (20.5%)

My boot in yer arse: I'll give you one guess....  Chad Jenkins -47.6%  Welcome to the show kid.

Lineup Contribution: -9.2%

Pitching Contribution: -40.8%

Highest Leverage AB:  Bottom of the 9th.  2 Out.  Runners on 1st and 2nd.  Here comes Edwin.  I'm white knuckling my Caeser.  Edwin flies out on a hard hit to centre to end the game  (6.73)

Highest Leverage Opponent AB:  Chad Jenkins comes in to face AJ Pierz with the bases loaded and the Jays up 3-1.  (3.17)

Highest Impact AB:  Edwins fly out to end the game knocked the Jays probability down -17.6% to zero.

Highest Impact Pitch:  Chad Jenkins second pitch in the major Leagues turns into a Pierz blast and increases the Sox probability a whopping 35.7%.  More salami....  Would really like to use this for us soon.....

                           pLI WPA
Jose Reyes           1.33 0.041
Melky Cabrera           1.89     -0.118
Jose Bautista           1.06 0.188
Edwin Encarnacion   4.72 -0.054
Juan Francisco          1.29 -0.092
Brett Lawrie          1.76 0.026
Colby Rasmus           1.98   -0.105
Dioneer Navarro  1.28 0.205
Ryan Goins          0.80 -0.008
Jonathan Diaz          3.91 -0.119
Moises Sierra          0.80 -0.059
                                -0.092

Brandon Morrow 1.30   -0.017
Chad Jenkins          0.72 -0.476
Brett Cecil          0.22 0.013
Steve Delabar          0.11 0.009
Aaron Loup          0.33 0.044
Sergio Santos          0.25 0.019
                               -0.408

Quick notes:
SP Lines:

Morrow:  2.2IP 0H 4ER  8BB 1K.

Buchholz: 7IP 6H 3ER 3BB 3K (That second H is still weird to me)

Morrow was off again (obviously) and wasn't getting much help being squeezed by the ump.  It turned into a no hit, 4 run appearance.

Both our boys with diabetes have been struggling mighty hard to start the season.  Maybe we should enlist a new assistant coach (he did win a pennant with the New York Knights)....

Worth noting that the highest leverage opponent AB was the 9th highest leverage AB in the game.
Finger pointing at a person who isn't even playing the game is ridiculous to me.  However, when you substitute in a pitcher who has yet to throw a pitch this season at the Major League level at the highest leverage opponent AB, some fingers are going to get pointed in your direction.  I love Gibby, but some decisions this year have me watching him a little more closely.

How about Juan Francisco by the way.  That guy has some mad pop with back to back MOONSHOTS.  Take your time with your back there pubeface....  I mean all the best Lindy :)

I hope I can leave this bad boy in all season.....  Bautista and Melky continue to roll leading the league in walks and hits, respectively.  Joey Bats is the only player in the MLB to reach safely in every game this season.

Bautista’s on base streak is still rolling at 24 games to start the season.  5 more to go for the team record Joey Bats! #josewatch

The 9 spot is a point of contention yet again, when Diaz was forced to attempt to lay down a bunt to try to stay out of a double play to turn over the line-up.  I dream of Drew.

Jays are now below .500 (4-5) in the best uni's in the league, the beauty blues.  Personally, I let the team down again while wearing no uni, and fell to an ugly 1-5.

The Jays who are now sitting 2 games below .500 (11-13) are currently closing out the series against the Sox and trying to break a 4 game slide as I write this up.  Dickey is on the mound against Lester.  Here's hoping to avoid the sweep.